Monday, March 16, 2015

SPX Support, Resistance (S/R), Moving Averages and Other Important Levels for Trading the Week of 3/16/15

SPX (S&P 500) support, resistance (S/R), moving averages and other important levels are provided for trading the week of 3/16/15. Levels shown in bold are strong resistance and support. Bold and underlined levels are very strong and important S/R. The SPX all-time intraday high is 2119.59 on 2/25/15 and the SPX all-time closing high is 2117.39 on 3/2/15. The low for this year is 1980.90 which identifies the starting point of the huge February rally.

For Monday with the SPX starting at 2053.40, the bulls need to touch the 2065 handle to accelerate the upside. At this writing about 3-1/2 hours before the opening bell, the S&P futures are up +9 threatening to attack the 2065 area. Bears need to push under 2041 to accelerate the downside. A move through 2042-2064 is sideways action to begin the week. The SPX began the year at 2059 so stocks are slightly negative on the year. March began at 2105 so the month Is currently printing negatively.

In the previous CPC and CPCE put/call ratio charts posted on the weekend, Keystone highlights the tinge of panic and fear in markets which typically identifies a near-term bottom. Markets may float higher into Wednesday when Fed Chair Yellen brings the tablets down from on high to instruct global markets on how to trade. This week is OpEx so Monday is typically higher, as well as a Tuesday low into a Wednesday high. This week in March is typically bullish 80% of the time so everything is going the bull’s way. On Friday, a new moon occurs in the morning and markets are typically weak moving through the new moon so Yellen’s words may disappoint late in the week but overall the week should finish higher.

The 2061 and 2067 levels are strong overhead resistance. If the 2065 level is overtaken today, the 2067 resistance will likely give way and price will immediately seek 2071 R. Market bears are in good shape as long as they do not relinquish the 200 EMA on the 60-minute chart at 2074. The 2075-2079 level is a strong resistance gauntlet but if 2074 is taken out price will likely run higher taking out the gauntlet and crushing the bears. If price takes out last week’s 2083 high, the SPX will be running into the 2090’s.

On the downside, the 2046 is strong support (100-day MA). Bears can accelerate the downside if they push down through 2040-2041 support; the 2030-2032 support will be tested quickly. Markets remain elevated for years due to central banker intervention and the party continues with the ECB QE program.

Looking at the big picture the strongest S/R is 2120, 2118, 2110, 2094, 2091, 2079, 2075-2076, 2067, 2061, 2046, 2040, 2038, 2032, 2030, 2023, 2019, 2011, 2002-2003, 1997-1998, 1993, 1988, 1985-1986 and 1982. The 2002, 2032 and 2040 levels are the strongest S/R levels for the entire 120-point range between 2000 and 2120.

2120 (2/25/15 All-Time Intraday High: 2119.59)
2118 (3/2/15 All-Time Closing High: 2117.39)
2115
2114
2111
2110
2105
2104.50 March Begins Here
2104
2101
2100
2099
2098
2097
2094 (12/29/14 Intraday High: 2093.55)
2091.91 (20-day MA)
2091 (12/29/14 Closing High: 2090.57)
2089
2088
2086
2083.49 Previous Week’s High
2083
2082
2080
2079 (12/5/14 Intraday High: 2079.47)
2076 (11/28/14 Intraday High: 2075.76)
2075 (12/5/14 Closing High: 2075.37)
2074.06 (200 EMA on 60-Minute Chart a Keystone Market Turn Signal)
2074
2073 (11/26/14 Closing High: 2072.83)
2072
2071 (11/21/14 Intraday High: 2071.46)
2069
2067
2065
2064.56 Friday HOD
2063
2061
2059.27 (50-day MA)
2058.90 Trading for 2015 Begins Here
2057
2056 (11/18/14 Intraday High: 2056.08)
2055.96 (20-week MA)
2054
2053.40 Friday Close – Monday Starts Here
2052
2050
2046 (11/13/14 Intraday High: 2046.18)
2045.75 (100-day MA)
2041.17 Friday LOD
2041
2040
2039.69 Previous Week’s Low
2038
2034
2032
2030
2024
2023
2021
2019.59 (150-day MA; the Slope is a Keystone Cyclical Signal)
2019 (9/19/14 Intraday High: 2019.26)
2018
2016.40 (10-month MA; a major market warning signal)
2016
2014
2012
2011 (9/18/14 Closing High: 2011.36) (9/4/14 Intraday High: 2011.17)
2009
2007 (9/5/14 Closing High: 2007.71)
2005 (8/26/14 Intraday High: 2005.04)
2004
2003.46 (200-day MA)
2003 (8/29/14 Closing High: 2003.37)
2002
2001
1999
1998
1997.62 (12-month MA; a Keystone Cyclical Signal) (the cliff)
1997
1995
1993 (1/15/15 Closing Low for 2015: 1992.67)
1992
1991 (7/24/14 Intraday Top: 1991.39)
1988 (7/24/14 Closing High: 1987.98)
1986 (7/3/14 Intraday Top: 1985.59)
1985 (7/3/14 Closing High: 1985.44)
1984.48 (50-week MA)
1983
1982
1981 (2/2/15 Intraday Low for 2015: 1980.90)
1979
1978
1976
1973
1970
1968 (6/24/14 Intraday Top: 1968.17)
1965
1964
1963 (6/20/14 Closing High: 1962.87)
1962
1961
1960
1958
1956 (6/9/14 Intraday Top: 1955.55)
1951 (6/9/14 Closing High: 1951.27)
1949
1947
1946
1942
1940
1937
1936
1931
1928
1925
1924 (5/30/14 Intraday Top: 1924.03) (5/13/14 Closing High: 1923.57)
1920
1917
1912
1910
1906
1902 (5/13/14 Intraday Top: 1902.17)
1901
1897 (5/13/14 Closing High: 1897.45) (4/4/14 Intraday Top: 1897.28)
1894
1891 (4/2/14 Closing High: 1890.90)
1889
1886
1885
1884 (3/21/14 Intraday Top: 1883.97) (3/7/14 Intraday Top: 1883.57)
1882
1880
1879
1878 (3/7/14 Closing High: 1878.04)
1877
1874
1873
1872
1871
1868
1867
1865

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