Keystone's Short-Term (ST) and Very Short-Term (VST) Market Signals
SPX 30-Minute Chart 8 MA and 34 MA Cross Indicator: Keystone uses a cross of the 8 MA and 34 MA on the 30-minute chart to forecast if the markets are in a short-term bullish trend or bearish trend for the hours and days ahead. Simply bring up the 30-minute chart and track the cross yourself. The current signal remains in place until a change occurs.
10/24/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (12:00 PM EST)
10/23/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (12:00 PM EST)
10/10/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (10:00 AM EST)
10/7/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (12:00 PM EST)
10/4/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (12:30 PM EST)
10/3/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (10:00 AM EST)
10/1/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (11:30 AM EST)
9/20/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (1:30 PM EST)
9/4/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (9:30 AM EST)
9/3/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (2:00 PM EST)
9/3/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (10:30 AM EST)
8/30/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (10:30 AM EST)
8/29/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (11:30 AM EST)
8/27/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (9:30 AM EST)
8/22/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (11:30 AM EST)
8/21/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (10:00 AM EST)
8/20/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (1:30 PM EST)
8/14/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (12:30 PM EST)
8/13/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (1:30 PM EST)
8/9/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (12:30 PM EST)
8/8/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (12:30 PM EST)
8/6/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (9:30 AM EST)
7/26/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (3:00 PM EST)
7/24/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (10:00 AM EST)
7/17/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (11:30 AM EST)
7/16/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (12:30 PM EST)
7/5/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (11:00 AM EST)
7/2/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (2:30 PM EST)
6/25/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (11:00 AM EST)
6/19/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (3:00 PM EST)
6/13/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (3:00 PM EST)
6/11/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (11:30 AM EST)
6/7/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (9:30 AM EST)
5/31/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (1:00 PM EST)
5/30/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (12:00 PM EST)
5/29/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (11:00 AM EST)
5/28/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (9:30 AM EST)
5/22/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (2:30 PM EST)
5/13/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (9:30 AM EST)
5/10/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (10:30 AM EST)
5/2/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (12:30 PM EST)
5/1/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (12:00 PM EST)
4/29/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (10:00 AM EST)
4/26/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (11:30 AM EST)
4/19/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (12:30 PM EST)
4/12/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (12:00 PM EST)
4/8/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (1:00 PM EST)
4/3/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (11:00 AM EST)
4/2/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (10:00 AM EST)
4/1/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (12:30 PM EST)
3/26/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (9:30 AM EST)
3/25/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (1:30 PM EST)
3/22/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (12:30 PM EST)
3/21/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (1:00 PM EST)
3/20/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (11:00 AM EST)
3/18/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (9:30 AM EST)
3/13/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (12:30 PM EST)
3/12/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (2:00 PM EST)
2/27/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (11:30 AM EST)
2/25/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (2:30 PM EST)
2/22/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (2:00 PM EST)
2/20/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (2:00 PM EST)
2/19/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (10:00 AM EST)
2/15/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (1:30 PM EST)
2/8/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (10:00 AM EST)
2/7/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (10:30 AM EST)
2/5/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (12:00 PM EST)
2/4/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (12:00 PM EST)
2/1/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (11:00 AM EST)
1/31/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (9:30 AM EST)
1/15/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (3:00 PM EST)
1/15/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (9:30 AM EST)
1/9/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (10:30 AM EST)
1/7/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (12:00 PM EST)
12/31/12: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (2:00 PM EST)
12/20/12: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (10:00 AM EST)
12/17/12: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (11:30 AM EST)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SPX 60-Minute Chart Price Versus 200 EMA Cross Indicator: Keystone uses a cross of price and the 200 EMA (exponential moving average) to forecast if the markets are in a short-term bullish trend or short-term bearish trend. Simply bring up the 60-minute chart and track the cross yourself. The current signal remains in place until a change occurs.
(watch 1711; bulls must stay above; bears must push below)
10/10/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (11:00 AM EST)
10/7/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (9:30 AM EST)
10/4/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (11:00 AM EST)
10/3/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (10:00 AM EST)
10/1/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (9:30 AM EST)
9/30/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (9:30 AM EST)
9/9/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (9:30 AM EST)
8/1513: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (9:30 AM EST)
7/5/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (9:30 AM EST)
6/19/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (3:00 PM EST)
6/17/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (9:30 AM EST)
6/14/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (1:00 PM EST)
6/13/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (2:00 PM EST)
6/12/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (10:00 AM EST)
6/7/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (9:30 AM EST)
6/5/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (9:30 AM EST)
4/22/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (11:00 AM EST)
4/17/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (10:00 AM EST)
4/16/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (9:30 AM EST)
4/15/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (3:00 PM EST)
4/5/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (1:00 PM EST)
4/5/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (9:30 AM EST)
2/27/13: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (9:30 AM EST)
2/25/13: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (3:26 PM EST)
12/31/12: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (2:00 PM EST)
12/27/12: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (10:00 AM EST)
11/28/12: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (12:00 PM EST)
11/27/12: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (2:00 PM EST)
11/26/12: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (1:00 PM EST)
11/26/12: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (10:00 AM EST)
11/23/12: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (10:00 AM EST)
10/19/12: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (11:00 AM EST)
10/15/12: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (3:00 PM EST)
10/10/12: Bearish; Short-Term Bear Move in Progress (9:30 AM EST)
7/26/12: Bullish; Short-Term Bull Move in Progress (9:30 AM EST)
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SPX:VIX Ratio Indicator: After the ratio moves above 68, stay on guard for a move back below 68 since that triggers a crash signal; the Dow Industrials typically fall from 100 to 300 points when the drops back down through 68 occurs. Conversely, when the indicator falls under 35, but then reverses and comes back above 35, that move back above 35 signals a large bull rally that should produce from 100 to 300 points of upside that day. The current signal remains in affect until a new signal is triggered by the respective 68 and 35 levels.
12/31/12: Crash Signal Alert; ratio moves back above 68 (fiscal-cliff stick-save) so bulls will remain in control above 68. Bears can only retake control of the markets if the ratio drops under 68 which would also result in a large down day. 79.14; 99.80; 100.23; 106.04; 105.80; 106.99; 105.79; 108.90; 110.18 (bullish euphoria); 108.75; 108.66; 110.00; 109.20; 119.26 (bullish euphoria); 119.35; 119.97; 117.80; 116.60; 110.10; 112.90; 105.00; 105.10; 117.30 (another high); 101.96; 110.15; 113.00; 111.80; 116.58; 116.50; 120.10; 117.00; 120.00; 121.97 (uber euphoric bullishness not seen since early 2007); 124.90 (big peak); 102.90 (big drop); 98.71; 106.96; 78.35 (huge drop); 88.20; 102.90; 97.80; 98.84; 109.00; 114.80; 114.50; 118.24; 123.21 (back up to an uber bullish euphoric peak); 135.00; 126.4; 131.40; 138.50 (highest level since the 2007 market top uber bullish euphoric peak); 138.12 (spectacularly high obscene levels); 116.2; 107.60; 123.02 (up on Fed day); 110.90; 114.73; 112.60; 122.50; 118.95; 123.56 (lower highs as market makes new highs); 109.31; 112.41; 111.54; 118.57; 122.40; 128.50; 130.01; 131.75 (ratio remains under previous highs as the markets print new highs); 89.89 (big market drop); 112.50; 94.00 (another market drop but the ratio has not come down as far); 87.48 (lower low); 104.05; 108.58; 117.17, 115.80; 116.50; 116.26 (markets are at all-time highs but the ratio is not); 115.40; 118.16; 109.90; 117.56; 125.64 (big market up day on jobs report but lower low for ratio with each market top); 127.90; 125.90; 129.00; 123.89 (markets are higher but ratio is not); 129.76 (big drop in volatility helps bulls); 130.19; 129.26; 129.52; 126.33; 133.93 (big upside market move); 128.00; 124.80; 120.00; 117.31; 117.91; 114.10 (big market up day but ratio drops); 111.15; 114.0; 100.05 (lowest number in six weeks); 101.00; 100.20; 91.94 (lowest number since April market sell off); 97.10; 108.55 (big jobs report up day); 106.49; 95.28; 86.74 (lowest since the February market sell off); 99.95; 94.85; 97.56; 100.00; 97.80; 77.51 (lowest number since the late December sell off only 9 points from 68); 84.26; 78.20; 86.00; 93.16; 95.40; 95.27; 98.67; 98.19; 99.72; 109.60; 110.77; 115.12; 116.60; 119.64; 121.40 (highest level in 2 months); 122.22; 116.35; 121.96; 123.01; 134.94; 138.04; 133.75; 127.94; 130.44; 132.99; 125.88; 125.94; 125.27; 131.86; 142.78 (highest number since the market top in 2007); 144.14; 133.50; 130.34; 133.36; 126.13 (7 months is an extremely long time for this indicator to remain elevated); 132.50; 137.50; 129.00; 112.78; 115.23; 109.00; 110.80; 103.06; 112.22; 118.99; 110.53; 97.16; 99.16; 97.45; 96.00; 98.60; 104.00; 104.90; 104.43; 106.96; 115.80; 122.22; 117.76; 119.21; 118.10; 117.30; 126.90; 130.87; 130.33 (SPX price is at new all-time highs but not the ratio--its diverging); 119.00; 121.00; 121.20; 120.40; 109.43; 101.39; 109.15; 101.86; 94.88; 100.99; 86.44; 81.45 (lowest reading since June market low); 84.60; 102.52; 108.35; 105.90; 90.98; 116.70; 128.80; 133.78; 132.72; 131.00; 130.06; 132.90; 134.44 (10 months is an extremely long time for this indicator to remain elevated);
12/28/12: Crash Signal Triggered; ratio drops under 68 signaling a large down day on tap which occurs, the Dow Industrials drop 158 points. The markets will sell off as long as the ratio remains under 68. Bulls will regain control of the markets above 68. 61.73
7/25/12: Crash Signal Alert; ratio moves back above 68 so bulls will remain in control above 68. Bears can only retake control of the markets if the ratio drops under 68 which would also result in a large down day. 69.18; 77.58; 82.99; 76.83; 72.86; 77.90; 88.94; 87.32; 87.64; 91.91; 92.05; 95.38; 102.49 (holy smokes!); 94.98; 96.00; 99.30; 105.44 (uber high now matching levels from the October 2007 broad market top); 101.10; 94.30; 93.50; 87.85; 92.96; 86.90; 85.46; 82.68; 79.05; 80.51; 78.50; 79.60; 91.85; 99.99 (another uber high after the Draghi market pump 9/6/12--but not as high); 88.50; 87.30; 90.83; 103.91 (another uber high after the Bernanke market pump 9/13/12--identifying a market top); 101.02; 100.15; 102.10; 105.10 (another uber high but not above the highest recent high at 105.44); 103.90; 104.45; 93.10; 85.27; 97.52; 91.59; 88.10; 92.03; 94.04; 100.10; 101.95; 96.35; 88.00; 87.94; 92.40; 88.51; 94.10; 95.80; 96.96; 84.01; 86.00; 74.95; 76.40; 77.80; 79.28; 76.00; 85.54; 80.40; 76.94; 81.25; 73.10; 74.50; 74.15; 83.20; 83.10; 75.64; 75.00; 82.87; 91.00; 92.00; 91.50; 93.07; 92.20; 87.87; 94.02; 89.24; 84.70; 89.19; 87.75; 82.27; 89.90; 85.72; 83.15; 87.54; 92.70; 82.80; 81.70; 80.17; 72.85; 72.84 (ratio drops under 68 intraday 12/27/12 but recovers)
7/24/12: Crash Signal Triggered; ratio drops under 68 signaling a large down day on tap which occurs. The markets will sell off as long as the ratio remains under 68. Bulls will regain control of the markets above 68. 65.38
6/29/12: Crash Signal Alert; ratio leaps above 68 at the open. Bulls remain in control above 68. Bears can only retake control of the markets if the ratio drops under 68. 79.75; 82.10; 83.05; 78.15; 79.22; 71.66; 74.73; 72.82; 81.05; 85.00; 89.09; 83.75; 72.53 (fell under 68 on 7/23/12 but quickly recovered back above)
6/28/12: Crash Signal Triggered; ratio drops under 68 signaling a large down day on tap. The indexes drop large but recover at the end of the day on Euro Summit news. The markets will sell off as long as the ratio remains under 68. Bulls will regain control of the markets above 68. 67.43
6/27/12: Crash Signal Alert; ratio oscillates above and below 68 and finishes above favoring bulls. Bulls remain in control above 68. Bears can only retake control of the markets if the ratio drops under 68. 68.48
6/25/12: Crash Signal Triggered; ratio drops under 68 signaling a large down day on tap. The major indexes drop about 2%, the SPX loses 21 handles and Dow Industrials lose 138 points. The markets will sell off as long as the ratio remains under 68. Bulls will regain control above 68. 64.46; 66.94
6/22/12: Crash Signal Alert; ratio pops back above 68 signaling a large up day on tap and the bulls back in control of the markets. The markets finish up about a percent. Bears can only retake control of the markets if the ratio drops under 68. 73.72
6/21/12: Crash Signal Triggered; ratio drops under 68 signaling a large down day on tap. The major indexes drop over 2%, the SPX loses 30 handles and Dow Industrials lose 251 points. The markets will sell off as long as the ratio remains under 68. Bulls will regain control above 68. 66.01
6/18/12: Crash Signal Alert; ratio pops back above 68 signaling a large up day on tap and the bulls back in control of the markets. Surprisingly, the markets are flat today. A large up move should occur now that the ratio is above 68. Bears can only retake control if the ratio drops under 68. Large up day occurs 6/19/12 as would be expected. 73.41; 74.45; 78.64
5/14/12: Crash Signal Triggered; ratio drops under 68 at the opening bell. The markets will sell off as long as the ratio remains under 68. 63.40; 63.00; 59.40; 55.95; 51.60; 59.79; 59.06; 60.56; 63.20; 54.40; 47.94; 52.0; 60.54; 62.44; 55.56; 54.18; 62.10; 63.61
5/10/12: Crash Signal Alert; ratio pops back above 68 at the open negating the selling pressure. Bulls are in control as long as the ratio stays above 68. 72.02; 68.04
5/9/12: Crash Signal Triggered; ratio drops under 68 indicating a large market down day is on tap and the bears are now in control of the markets, unless the ratio pops back above 68. The ratio crosses the 68 level five times today as the bulls and bears fight it out. A large market down occurs but markets recover by the close. The SPX is down 10 points and Dow Industrials down 100 points. 67.52
4/11/12: Crash Signal Alert; ratio pops back above 68 at the open negating the selling pressure. Bulls are in control as long as the ratio stays above 68. 68.37; 80.67; 70.09; 70.05; 68.20; 69.9; 68.5 (dropped below 68 for only a few minutes 4/16/12 but recovered back above 68 quickly); 78.51; 72.80; 78.00; 71.30; 81.40; 78.40; 79.04; 72.06 (dropped below 68 at the open on 4/23/12 but recovered back above 68 at 11 AM EST and on; Dow Industrials lost 102 points was down as much as 184 points); 75.80; 82.68; 86.21; 81.85; 84.69; 79.95; 71.46; 71.59 (dropped below 68 at 10 AM EST 5/8/12 but recovered back above at 2:30 PM; Dow Industrials lost 76 points was down as much as 200 points).
4/10/12: Crash Signal Triggered; ratio drops under 68 indicating a large market down day is on tap. Large market down day occurs; Dow Industrials lost 213 points. The markets will continue lower unless the ratio moves back above 68. 66.57
3/7/12: Crash Signal Alert; ratio pops back above 68 negating the selling pressure. Bulls stay in control as long as the ratio stays above 68. Stay on alert. 71.02; 76.10; 80.10; 87.50; 92.50; 97.04; 90.20; 92.90; 89.5; 94.27; 99.33--unbelievable number; 90.8; 90.87; 85.00; 83.72; 73.48.
3/6/12: Crash Signal Triggered; ratio drops under 68 at the opening bell indicating a large market down day is on tap. Large market down day occurs. 64.60
2/16/12: Crash Signal Alert; ratio pops back above 68 nullifying the selling pressure. The bulls are back in control again as long as they keep the ratio above 68. 70.61; 76.72; 74.96; 74.85; 81.16
2/15/12: Crash Signal Triggered; ratio drops under 68 indicating a large down day on tap today. Markets sold off strongly. 63.75
2/13/12: Crash Signal Alert; ratio pops back above 68 nullifying any continued bearishness. The bulls are back in control again as long as they keep the ratio above 68. 70.80; 69.09
2/10/12: Crash Signal Triggered; ratio drops under 68 at the open signaling a large down day ahead. The SPX and Dow end the day down 0.7%. Markets will sell off unless the ratio moves back above 68. 64.58
2/1/12: Crash Signal Alert; ratio moves above 68 so stay alert for a move back below 68 which would trigger trouble. Bulls will enjoy the upside as long as the ratio stays above 68. 71.41; 73.75; 78.67; 76.26; 72.53
1/30/12: Crash Signal Triggered; ratio drops under 68, big down day expected. Bears remain in control as long as ratio stays under 68. Large down day occurs but markets recover. 67.70; 67.54
1/20/12: Crash Signal Alert; ratio moves above 68 triggering an alert to watch for a market pull back. If the ratio stays above 68 the bulls are fine, if the 68 level is lost, the broad markets will experience a strong sell off. The ratio lost 68 on 1/24/12 triggering a crash signal, a large down day on tap, but the ratio moved back above by the close nullifying the sell off. The ratio then lost 68 on 1/25/12 triggering a large down day but the ratio moved back above by the close nullifying the sell off. 71.90; 69.50; 72.42; 71.04
11/28/11: Rally Signal Triggered; ratio explodes above 35 at the opening bell indicating a large up day is on tap. The day ends with the SPX up 34 points, or 2.9%, the Dow Industrials up 291 points, or 2.6%, and the Nasdaq up 86 points, or 3.5%. The market bulls are in control of markets unless the ratio falls under 35 or if the indicator moves above 68 and then back below 68. 37.12; 39.00; 44.92; 45.21; 52.7; 61.3; 52.5; 62.00; 58.27; 62.62
11/25/11: Rally Alert Signal: ratio popped above 35 which caused the indexes to run higher but at 11:24 AM the ratio lost the 35 level again ushering in market weakness. Bears are in control if the ratio stays under 35. Markets will decide which side of 35 is preferred and commit to that direction in the days ahead. 33.61
11/23/11: Rally Alert Signal; ratio drops under 35 indicating a large down day will occur today. The ratio moves above and below 35 in the session and closes at 34.19 verifying the large down day. The SPX dropped 26 points, or 2.2%. The Dow Industrials dropped 236 points, or 2.1%. 34.19
11/21/11: Rally Signal Triggered but after Rally Alert Signal occurred; ratio dropped under 35 at the open indicating a large down day is on tap. At 2 PM, the ratio moved back above 35 triggering the Rally Signal and markets recovered from the huge intraday losses. Simply watch which side of 35 the ratio favors moving forward. On the day, the SPX fell 23 points or 1.9%. The Dow Industrials dropped 249 points, or 2.1%. 36.25; 37.19
11/10/11: Rally Signal Triggered; ratio moves back above 35 indicating a large up day on tap. Bulls will remain in control as long as the ratio stays above 35. The day ends with the SPX up 10 points, or 0.8%. The Dow Industrials gained 113 points, or 1%. On 11/11/11, the SPX gained another 24 points, or 2%. The Dow gained another 261 points, or 2.2%. Thus, markets gained about 3% on Thursday and Friday, in 13 hours of trading, occurring directly after Keystone's signal moved above 35.
11/9/11: Rally Alert Signal; ratio dropped under 35 at 2 PM verifying the selling already occurring today and signaling more selling ahead. Markets will stay weak as long as the ratio is under 35. The SPX ended down 47 points, or 3.7%. The Dow Industrials lost 389 points, or 3.2%. 33.99
11/1/11: Rally Signal Triggered and remains in place since ratio is above 35, but barely. The ratio dropped under 35 at the open today indicating a large down day was on tap. The SPX lost 28 points, or 2.2%. The Dow Industrials lost 236 points, or 2.0%. In the final minute, the ratio popped over a point higher to print 35.04. Watch this closely on 11/2/11. (On 11/2/11, the ratio jumped above 35 signaling that the bulls will be running) 35.04; 37.84; 41.45; 41.55; 42.26; 46.38
10/21/11: Rally Signal Triggered; ratio jumped above 35 at the open and never looked back, big up day is projected. SPX finishes up 23 points, or 1.9%, and the Dow is up 267 points or 2.3%. Market bulls remain in control as long as the ratio remains above 35. 39.54
10/20/11: Rally Signal Alert; ratio dropped under 35 early in the session indicating a large drop in the indexes today, but, moved back above 35 at 1:30 PM negating the downward slide projection. Markets recovered. At the last tick of the day the ratio printed a smidge under 35 favoring market bears for tomorrow. 34.95
10/19/11: Rally Signal Triggered; ratio dropped under 35 at 2 PM placing the market bears back in charge but, the final ticks of the day printed 35.15 allowing bulls to remain in control. 35.15
10/10/11: Rally Signal Triggered; ratio moved above 35 late day to confirm the large upside move that occurred. Bulls are favored as long as the ratio stays above 35. The SPX gained 39 points, or 3.4%. The Dow Industrials gained 330 points, or 3%. 36.19
9/21/11: Rally Signal Alert; ratio dropped under 35 at 10:50 AM EST indicating a large down day is on tap for the indexes. Bears are favored if the ratio stays under 35. The SPX lost 35 points, or 2.9%. The Dow Industrials lost 284 points, or 2.5%. 31.26; 27.30; 27.49; 29.80; 24.16; 27.58; 32.14
9/19/11: Rally Signal Triggered; ratio dropped under 35 at the opening bell dropping the signal into Alert status and signaling a big down day on tap today with the bears regaining control. At noon, the ratio popped above 35, then dropped back under. At 2:13 PM, the ratio moved above 35 and never looked back, this helped the indexes recover but the day remained negative. Bulls are in control above 35. The SPX finishes down 12 points, or 1.0%, and the Dow Industrials finish down 108 points, or 0.9%. 36.79; 36.59
9/15/11: Rally Signal Triggered; ratio popped above 35 at the opening bell indicating a big up day on tap for the indexes. The market bulls will run as long as the index stays above 35. The SPX finishes the day up 20 points, or 1.7% and the Dow Industrials finish up 186 points, or 1.7%. 37.76; 39.10
9/14/11: Rally Signal Alert; ratio moved above 35 triggering the Rally Signal indicating a large day on tap but then dropped back below nullifying the signal. Watch to see if the ratio moves above 35 tomorrow. Bears in control under 35, bulls will rally the markets above 35. 34.42
9/8/11: Rally Signal Alert; ratio dropped under 35 at 1:30 PM today when Chairman Bernanke started talking so the markets will favor the bears, until the ratio moves back above 35. 34.55; 29.96
9/7/11: Rally Signal Triggered; ratio moved above 35 at 12:40 PM so a huge up day is expected for the markets today. The market bulls rule as long as the ratio stays above 35. If the ratio drops under 35, the bears will regain control of the markets. The SPX finished the day up 33 points, or 2.9% and the Dow Industrials finished the day up 276 points, or 2.5%. 35.91
9/2/11: Rally Signal Alert; ratio dropped under 35 today indicating that the market bears are back in control. A large up day will be expected once the ratio moves back above 35, until then, the bears rule. 34.61; 31.50
8/29/11: Rally Signal Triggered; ratio popped above 35 at 9:31 AM, thus the market bulls will run, expect a triple digit up day on the Dow Industrials. The only way the bull recovery rally can be derailed now, is if the ratio drops back under 35. The SPX finished the day up 33 points, or 2.8% and the Dow Industrials finished the day up 255 points, or 2.2%.
8/18/11: Rally Signal Alert; ratio dropped under 35 at the open so the bears are back in control of the indexes. Wait for a move back above 35 to trigger a large recovery rally. Below 35 the bears have the upper hand in the markets. 26.77; 26.15; 26.60; 32.05; 32.85; 29.17; 33.07
8/15/11: Rally Signal Triggered; ratio jumps above 35 at the open, expect a large up day in the indexes. At 11:18 AM the ratio slipped back below but that was short-lived and the ratio moved back above 35 at 11:47 AM; a big up day remains on tap. Bulls remain in control as long as the ratio stays above 35. At the close, the SPX gained 26 points, or 2.2%, and the Dow Industrials gained 214 points, or 1.9%. 37.79
8/8/11: Rally Signal Alert; ratio moved under the 35 level today, thus, prepare for a triple digit upside Dow rally when the ratio moves back above 35. If the ratio stays under 35, the bears will remain in control. 23.32; 25.95; 30.08; 32.30
7/26/11: Crash Signal Triggered; ratio moved under 68, expect a large move down in the indexes. SPX lost 33 points, or 2.5% thru 7/27/11. Dow Industrials lost 290 points during this two days, or 2.3%. Broad markets will remain weak as long as the ratio stays under 68 and keeps falling. 66.10; 50.63; 54.06; 37.48 (As of 8/7/11, note that the ratio is only two points from 35 which will start to signal that a rally is at hand)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SPXA150R Indicator: The neutral range is from 25 to 80. When the bulls are rallying over time, the indicator moves upwards over 80 indicating that markets are getting into more and more lofty territory, thus, the bearishness increases the higher the indicator moves. Bearish at 80-85, Strongly Bearish at 85-90 and Uber Bearish at 90+. The 90+ area is typically a fantastic place to short from; you will typically notice euphoric market sentiment. Conversely, when the broad market selling is overdone, and the indicator moves down towards and below 25, the selling is becoming out of hand and a reversal back up is in order. Bullish at 25-20, Strongly Bullish at 20-15 and Uber Bullish sub 15.
10/17/13: Bearish; indicator moves above 80 showing the bulls regaining control. The bulls will receive extra juice if price moves above 85. Bears will regain downside mojo if they push the indicator back under 80. 82.16; 82.60; 82.00; 83.71; 82.60; 84.43; 84.80;
9/23/13: Neutral; indicator drops under 80 indicating that markets will sell off moving forward, as long as the indicator stays under 80. If it moves above 80, bulls are retaking control of the markets. 78.70; 77.60; 76.60; 77.36; 76.20; 74.80; 76.00; 75.60; 72.00; 75.40; 72.80; 64.84; 65.80; 75.00; 77.80; 79.92
9/18/13: Bearish; indicator moves above 80 showing the bulls regaining control. The bulls will receive extra juice if price moves above 85. Bears will regain downside mojo if they push the indicator back under 80. 84.24; 83.40; 80.40;
8/15/13: Neutral; indicator drops under 80 indicating that markets will sell off moving forward, as long as the indicator stays under 80. If it moves above 80, bulls are retaking control of the markets. 75.60; 72.80; 69.60; 72.40; 69.20; 72.42; 74.60; 72.00; 63.80; 65.40; 66.10; 63.40; 65.13; 69.00; 69.39; 68.20; 75.00; 76.83; 77.80; 76.00; 76.60; 78.66; 79.94
8/7/13: Bearish; indicator moves below 85 showing that the bears are moving markets lower. The bears will receive extra juice if price drops under 80. Bulls will regain their mojo if they push price back above 85. 84.40; 84.80; 84.60; 83.00; 82.00; 80.50
7/11/13: Strongly Bearish; indicator moves above 85 showing that the bulls are staging a strong come back rally. Market bulls will receive further fuel to drive the broad indexes higher above 90 but market weakness will return under 85. 88.01; 88.40; 88.21; 87.20; 87.58; 88.21; 89.20; 89.01; 88.61; 86.21; 86.59; 87.20; 86.00; 86.00; 85.40; 87.19; 86.40 (bulls and bears keep fighting for control); 86.60; 85.60
7/8/13: Bearish; indicator moves above 80 showing that the bulls are in charge. Market bulls will receive fuel to drive the broad indexes higher above 85 but market weakness will appear under 80. 81.67; 83.61; 83.86
6/20/13: Neutral; indicator drops under 80 indicating that markets will sell off moving forward, as long as the indicator stays under 80. If it moves above 80, bulls are retaking control of the markets. 72.40; 73.80; 69.30; 73.30; 76.20; 79.90; 78.20; 79.41; 78.42; 77.40; 79.40; 79.47
6/19/13: Bearish; indicator drops below 85 showing that the bears are firmly in charge. Market bulls will receive fuel to drive the broad indexes higher above 85 but market weakness will continue under 85 and the selling will intensify if the indicator drops under 80. 82.00
6/13/13: Strongly Bearish; indicator moves above 85 showing that the bulls are staging a come back rally. Market bulls will receive further fuel to drive the broad indexes higher above 90 but market weakness will return under 85. 87.00; 85.20; 86.80; 88.00
6/11/13: Bearish; indicator drops below 85 showing that the bears are firmly in charge. Market bulls will receive fuel to drive the broad indexes higher above 85 but market weakness will continue under 85 and the selling intensity will increase if the indicator drops under 80. 84.28; 80.80
6/6/13: Strongly Bearish; indicator moves above 85 showing that the bulls are staging a come back rally. Market bulls will receive further fuel to drive the broad indexes higher above 90 but market weakness will return under 85. 86.50; 89.40; 88.03
6/5/13: Bearish; indicator drops below 85 showing that the bears are firmly in charge. Market bulls will receive fuel to drive the broad indexes higher above 85 but market weakness will continue under 85 and the selling intensity will increase if the indicator drops under 80. 84.60
5/31/13: Strongly Bearish; indicator drops below 90 showing that the bears are in charge. Market bulls will receive fuel to drive the broad indexes higher above 90 but market weakness will continue under 90 and the selling intensity will increase if the indicator drops under 85. 88.80
5/3/13: Uber Bearish; indicator moves above 90 indicating the bulls remain in over drive rally mode. The rally will strengthen as long as the SPXA150R stays above 90 but if a drop under 90 occurs, the markets will sell off. The 90 elevated level signals a very attractive time to short the market. 90.00; 92.20; 92.80; 92.80; 93.40; 92.83; 93.59; 93.21; 93.60; 94.40; 94.40; 92.60; 92.60; 92.40; 92.10 (big market up day but the indicator drops); 91.40
4/24/13: Strongly Bearish; indicator moves above 85 to the 85-90 zone showing that the bulls are in charge. Market bulls will receive supercharge fuel to drive the broad indexes higher above 90 but market weakness will reappear if the indicator drops under 85. 85.01; 86.97; 85.00; 87.20; 87.00; 85.03; 87.20
4/23/13: Bearish; indicator moves above 80 into the 80-85 zone indicating that the bulls are back in business. The bulls will regain upside fuel if a move above 85 occurs. The bears need to push under 80 to take firm control to the downside. 83.35; 84.40
4/18/13: Neutral; indicator drops under 80 indicating that markets will sell off moving forward, as long as the indicator stays under 80. If it moves above 80, bulls are retaking control of the markets. 78.20; 79.60; 80.00 (exactly at 80)
4/15/13: Bearish; indicator moves below 85 into the 80-85 zone indicating that the bulls are running out of gas. The bulls will regain upside fuel if a move above 85 occurs. The bears need to push under 80 to take firm control to the downside. 81.20; 84.40; 80.20
4/12/13: Strongly Bearish; indicator moves below 90 allowing the bears to push markets lower. Markets weakness will continue with SPXA150R under 90 and selling will increase if a drop under 85 occurs. The bulls need to push above 90 to send markets higher. 89.40
4/11/13: Uber Bearish; indicator moves above 90 indicating the bulls remain in over drive rally mode. The rally will strengthen as long as the SPXA150R stays above 90 but if a drop under 90 occurs, the markets will weaken. 90.40
4/4/13: Strongly Bearish; indicator moves above 85 indicating the bulls remain in rally mode. The rally will strengthen if 90 is achieved but if a drop under 85 occurs, the bears will take control to the downside. 85.61; 85.80
4/3/13: Bearish; indicator moves below 85 into the 80-85 zone indicating that the bulls are running out of gas. The bulls will regain upside fuel if a move above 85 occurs. The bears need to push under 80 to take firm control to the downside. 83.80
3/7/13: Strongly Bearish; indicator moves above 85 indicating the bulls remain in rally mode. The rally will strengthen if 90 is achieved but if a drop under 85 occurs, the bears will take control. 85.20; 85.20; 86.40; 87.0; 87.20; 88.20; 88.80; 88.20; 86.60; 87.80; 86.20; 87.00; 86.70; 88.0; 88.20; 88.40; 87.18; 86.58
2/26/13: Bearish; indicator moves above 80 indicating that the bulls are in control. The bulls will gain further upside fuel if a move above 85 occurs. The bears need to push under 80 to regain control. 80.70; 83.70; 83.70; 84.20; 83.10; 84.60; 84.80
2/25/13: Neutral; indicator drops under 80 indicating that markets will sell off moving forward, as long as it stays under 80. If it moves above 80, bulls are retaking control of the markets. 79.20
2/21/13: Bearish; indicator moves below 85 placing the bears in control. The bulls will need to push back above 85 to regain control. A drop under 80 will create further bear fuel. 84.70; 82.60; 84.60
1/24/13: Strongly Bearish; indicator moves above 85 indicating the bulls remain in rally mode. The rally will strengthen if 90 is achieved but if a drop under 85 occurs, the bears will take control. 87.00; 85.80; 86.60; 87.60; 85.80; 87.00; 86.35; 86.65; 87.20; 85.40; 86.80; 87.40; 87.20; 87.60; 87.40; 87.40; 86.80; 86.80; 87.10; 85.80
1/4/13: Bearish; indicator moves above 80 indicating the bulls are in rally mode. The rally will strengthen if 85 is achieved but if a drop under 80 occurs, the bears will take control. 81.70; 81.60; 82.60; 84.40
1/8/13: Neutral; indicator drops under 80 indicating that markets will sell off moving forward, as long as it stays under 80. If it moves above 80, bulls are retaking control of the markets. 78.00; 79.00
1/4/13: Bearish; indicator moves above 80 indicating the bulls are in rally mode. The rally will strengthen if 85 is achieved but if a drop under 80 occurs, the bears will take control. 81.20; 80.00
12/19/12: Neutral; indicator drops under 80 indicating that markets will sell off moving forward, as long as it stays under 80. If it moves above 80, bulls are retaking control of the markets. 78.10; 78.20; 75.40; 69.80; 70.90; 71.20; 67.80; 73.60; 78.10; 79.80;
12/18/12: Bearish; indicator moves above 80 indicating the bulls are in rally mode. The rally will strengthen if 85 is achieved but if a drop under 80 occurs, the bears will take control. 80.10
9/17/12: Neutral; indicator drops under 80 indicating that markets will sell off moving forward, as long as it stays under 80. If it moves above 80, bulls are retaking control of the markets. 79.40; 77.21; 77.59; 75.60; 76.80; 70.00; 68.80; 70.60; 69.60; 71.00; 70.60; 71.40; 75.05; 75.20; 75.20; 70.00; 68.60; 67.40; 72.00; 79.40; 79.40; 70.00; 64.00; 61.00; 63.10; 63.00; 65.20; 69.80; 65.40; 66.60; 70.20; 54.40; 56.00; 53.40; 46.60; 46.50; 49.80; 58.40; 61.00; 63.50; 66.60; 65.00; 62.80; 69.80; 69.40; 66.60; 71.20; 73.70; 70.60; 70.40; 73.80
9/13/12: Bearish; indicator moves above 80 indicating the bulls are in rally mode. The rally will strengthen if 85 is achieved but if a drop under 80 occurs, the bears will take control. 80.40; 81.60
5/3/12: Neutral; indicator drops under 80 indicating that markets will sell off as time moves along, as long as it stays under 80. If it moves above 80, bulls are retaking control of the markets. 76.99; 68.80; 68.15; 67.20; 64.17; 64.82; 63.20; 40.00; 47.80; 46.80; 49.00; 53.10; 46.00; 33.40; 44.50; 49.00; 42.20; 42.60; 51.20; 52.40; 55.80; 46.89; 48.80; 43.40; 47.80; 48.00; 58.40; 58.20; 53.80; 48.60; 48.20; 45.00; 53.80; 58.60; 54.20; 49.60; 45.00; 46.20; 51.20; 57.40; 56.80; 56.20; 58.00; 59.12; 63.40; 63.62; 65.00; 64.40; 64.13; 62.03; 68.55; 69.00; 65.90; 60.40; 64.40; 63.40; 63.00; 64.60; 61.50; 63.60; 61.00; 70.80; 74.80; 73.90; 75.10; 76.00
4/26/12: Bearish; indicator moves above 80 indicating a market rally will occur. The bulls are happy if the indicator stays above 80; bears will wrestle back control if it drops under 80. 81.40; 81.00; 80.60; 83.20; 80.51
4/20/12: Neutral; indicator drops under 80 indicating that markets will sell off, as long as it stays under 80. If it moves above 80 markets will rally. 79.00; 76.60; 79.60
4/16/12: Bearish; indicator moves above 80 indicating a market rally will occur. The bulls are happy if the indicator stays above 80, bears will seize control if it drops under 80. 80.20; 83.0; 81.20; 80.10
4/13/12: Neutral; indicator drops under 80 indicating that markets will sell off, as long as it stays under 80. If it moves above 80 markets will rally. 79.80
4/11/12: Bearish; indicator moves above 80 indicating a market rally will occur. The rally will continue if it stays above 80. If it drops below 80 the market selling will begin again. 80.20; 83.40
4/10/12: Neutral; indicator drops under 80 verifying continued downward market pressure, as long as it stays under 80. If it moves above 80 a rally will occur. If it stays under 80, the bears will continue to push markets lower. 77.00
4/5/12: Bearish; indicator drops under 85 verifying continued downward market pressure, as long as it stays under 85. If price moves back above 85 a rally will occur. If price stays under 85, bears will continue to push markets lower. 84.80; 82.60.
3/28/12: Strongly Bearish; indicator drops under 90 verifying the down day and indicating that the markets will sell off as long as the indicators stays under 90. If it moves back over 90, this is uber bearish and simply provides additional shorting opportunities. 88.80; 88.60
3/26/12: Uber Bearish; indicator moves above 90 verifying the bull strength today. Markets will sell off when the indicator drops back under 90. 90.80; 90.60
3/20/12: Strongly Bearish; indicator drops under 90 indicating that the makets should sell off, as long as the indicator stays under 90. If the indicator moves back above 90 the bulls will be favored until price drops back below 90. 89.60; 89.00; 87.40; 89.40
3/15/12: Uber Bearish; indicator moves above 90 verifying the bull strength. Markets will sell off when the indicator drops back under 90. 90.20; 90.60
3/7/12: Strongly Bearish; indicator moves back above 85 so the market selling only lasted one day. If the indicator falls under 85, the markets will sell off and head lower. If the indicator stays above 85 and moves above 90, the market bulls will run the indexes a bit higher before rolling over. 85.40; 87.40; 87.60
3/6/12: Bearish; indicator moves under 85 verifying the large down day today. If the indicator moves above 85 and moves higher above 90, the market bulls will continue to keep the markets elevated and bumping higher, before they eventually roll over. 84.30
2/16/12: Strongly Bearish; indicator moves back above 85 so the market selling only lasted one day. If the indicator falls under 85, the markets will sell off and head lower. If the indicator stays above 85 and moves above 90, the market bulls will run the indexes a bit higher before rolling over. 87.30; 88.68; 88.00; 87.5; 88.70; 87.00; 87.80; 86.70
2/15/12: Bearish; indicator moves under 85 verifying the large down day today. If the indicator stays below 85 the selling contnues, if it moves back above the bulls are on the run again. 84.70
2/3/12: Strongly Bearish; indicator moves over 85 showing a bull party in place. Bulls are happy as long as the indicator stays above 85. Above 90 is a full fledged bull orgy. Market selling will occur if the indicator drops back under 85. 85.82; 86.48; 86.70; 87.60
2/1/12 : Bearish; indicator moves over 80 so the bulls are running, bulls will continue higher if the 85 level is taken out next. Bears need to move back under 80. 81.45
1/30/12: Neutral; indicator dropped under the 80 level so market selling should occur.
1/25/12: Bearish; indicator finally moves above the 80 level after this long market rally from November 2011. Therefore, the bulls rule the roost above 80. If the indicator moves under 80 that will initiate market selling, if the indicator moves above 85, it indicates further bull strength. 82.00; 80.20; 80.60
11/28/11: Neutral; indicator leaps from under 20 to up above 25 indicating the bulls are in full control and a rally is at hand. Bears got nothing unless they can push the indicator back below 25 and lower, or if the indicator moves above 80 and then drops back under 80. 29.00; 31.05; 50.40; 59.3; 53.0; 62.6; 65.0; 72.2; 69.6; 75.00
11/23/11: Strongly Bullish; indicator falls under 25 and then under 20, collapsing thru two key levels, for the first time in six weeks. The October rally kept this indicator buoyant. So markets will become more bearish if the 15 level is lost, bulls will regain control if the indicator moves back above 20. 19.48; 19.40
10/10/11: Neutral; indicator jumps back above 25 so bulls are favored moving forward. Bears cannot regain control unless they take the indicator under 25 again. 28.20; 31.82; 32.52; 38.80; 45.00; 35.48; 57.20; 55.71; 34.59; 51.80; 48.68; 55.47; 39.80; 53.26; 51.48; 36.65; 37.42; 28.00 (11/21/11).
10/6/11: Bullish; indicator now back above 20 favoring bulls. Bulls will drive indexes higher if they can move back above 25. 20.56; 20.32
10/5/11: Strongly Bullish; indicator back above 15 so the bulls are favored moving forward. 15.55
10/3/11: Uber Bullish; indicator drops under 15 favoring bears and weak markets but stay on guard for a reversal back up for the indexes. 10.64; 13.85
9/28/11: Strongly Bullish; indicator moves under 20 favoring bears but coiling the spring for the bulls. 18.81; 19.40; 16.68
9/26/11: Bullish; indicator moves above 20 favoring bulls. Bulls will receive more juice if they get above the 25 level. If the 20 level is lost, the bears will be growling again. 20.80; 22.74
9/22/11: Strongly Bullish; indicator moves below 20 further favoring bears. Bears will receive extra juice if the 15 level is lost. Bulls will regain control if they move above 20. 15.90; 17.00
9/21/11: Bullish; indicator moves below 25 favoring bears. Bears are further favored if a move under 20 occurs, bulls will regain control over 25. 20.20
9/15/11: Neutral; indicator moves above 25 indicating the bulls in control. Bulls remain in control as long as the indicator remains above 25. 27.59; 30.05; 27.60; 28.05
9/14/11: Bullish; indicator moves above 20 showing bullish strength. A move above 25 will indicate bullishness ahead, a move under 20 will indicate bearish strengh. 23.00
9/9/11: Strongly Bullish; indicator falls further under 20 so the bears are in firm control. Further bearishness will occur if it drops under 15, the bulls will recover if it moves above 20 and works higher thru 25. 16.40; 18.20; 19.87
9/8/11: Bullish; indicator moves under 25 so the bears have the ball again. If the indicator moves under 20 the bears are running with the ball, if the indicator moves above 25 the bulls are running. 23.00
9/7/11: Neutral; indicator moves up thru 20 and also up thru 25, very bullish for markets. As long as the indicator stays above 25, the bulls are running. 25.20
9/6/11; Strongly Bullish; indicator moves under 20 so the bears are in control. If the indicator moves under 15, the bears will be driving the markets lower but at the same time it sets the makets up for a bounce. If the indicator moves above 20 the bulls are back in control. 18.87
9/2/11; Bullish; indicator moves under 25 indicating that the bears want to push the markets lower again. Bulls can regain control if the indicator moves back above 25. Bears will increase the downside momo if they push under 20. 20.80
8/29/11; Neutral; indicator moves straight up thru the 20 and 25 levels, very bullish. Markets will favor bulls as long as the indicator stays above 25. 26.10
8/25/11; Strongly Bullish; indicator moves below 20 favoring bearishness in the markets again. A move above 20 would favor bullishness, a move below 15 would favor bears. 15.60; 19.40
8/24/11: Bullish; indicator moves above 20, barely. This further favors bullishness. A move above 25 would signal all clear for a recovery rally, a move back under 20 would indicate the bears wrestling back control of the markets. 20.04
8/23/11: Strongly Bullish; indicator moves above 15 which favors market bulls gaining strength again. A move above 20 indicates further bullishness but a drop under 15 again would be bearish. 16.44
8/18/11: Uber Bullish; indicator moves back below 15, thus, the bull strength evaporated. Once the indicator moves back above 15, that will show the bulls regaining strength. A move thru 20 and 25 shows that a recovery rally will be well underway. 11.90; 10.00
8/15/11: Strongly Bullish; indicator moves back above 15 to 19.60. This confirms the up move occurring in the indexes currently. As long as the indicator stays above 15, the indexes will move up. If price moves above 20, the bulls will continue to run the indexes higher. If price falls back uner 15 the bears are regaining control again. 19.60
8/4/11: Uber Bullish; indicator falls under 25, then under 20, then under 15, all in one day! What a huge change after a couple months of neutrality. This indicates that the selling is becoming overdone and a reversal would be in order for the bulls. SPXA150R below 15 is a seriously low reading and a rally will occur when the indicator moves back above 15 (On 8/8/11, a print of 4.80 occurs, markets should reverse now). 13.80; 14.60; 4.80; 11.26; 6.24; 13.41; 14.47
5/20/11: Neutral; indicator falls below 80 which is bearish for equities, expect the markets to sell off unless the number moves back above 80. (As of 6/24/11, indicator remains well under 80 hanging around the 50 level. Expect continued broad market weakness unless the indicator moves down towards 25, or moves back above 80). 79.40; 49.80; 73.20; 52.80; 60.50
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Copyright 2012-2025. The Keystone Speculator™. All Rights Reserved. No part of this blog or its contents may be reproduced in any fashion without expressed written consent from The Keystone Speculator™.