Wednesday, March 6, 2024

Keybot the Quant Turns Bearish

Keystone's proprietary trading algorithm, Keybot the Quant, flips to the short side yesterday morning at SPX 5110. Volatility spikes creating stock market negativity. Watch the VIX 13.68 bull/bear line in the sand. The VIX is at 14.01 in real-time but now pulling back after Pope Powell waxes more dovishness before he speaks today. Bears win above VIX 13.68 while bulls win below VIX 13.68.

Keybot the Quant

Thursday, February 22, 2024

Keybot the Quant Turns Bullish

Keybot the Quant algorithm flips back to the bull side this morning at SPX 5039. The AI hype and chip orgy is Outtasite. Volatility (VIX 14.42) and utilities (UTIL 838 for tomorrow and 863.50 for all of next week) are all that matter.

Keybot the Quant

Wednesday, February 14, 2024

Keybot the Quant Turns Bearish

The Keystone Speculator's proprietary trading robot, Keybot the Quant, flips to the short side on Tuesday afternoon at SPX 4939 and held short through today's relief rally. VIX 14.59 is the bull/bear line in the sand and it will tip its hand in the morning and tell you the stock direction ahead (inversely).

Keybot the Quant

Friday, February 9, 2024

SPX S&P 500 Prints Above 5,000 for the First Time in History on 2/8/24; SPX Closes Above 5K for the First Time Ever on 2/9/24 and Prints All-Time High at 5030.06; SPX Prints All-Time High at 5048.39 on 2/12/24


The SPX, S&P 500, the US Stock Market, prints above 5,000 for the first time in history at 3:59 PM EST on Thursday, 2/8/24, during the last minute of trading for the session (US stock market closes at 4 PM EST).

However, the SPX did not close above 5K instead ending the day at 4998. The S&P 500 prints the highest number ever in history at SPX 5000.40.

Today, and the days ahead, will dictate if the S&P 500 can close above 5,000. S&P futures are flatter than a newlywed's souffle about 4 hours before the opening bell for the Friday session. Folks, it's a long way to the top if you wanna rock 'n roll.

Note Added on Friday, 2/9/24, at 6:23 PM EST: The SPX closes above 5,000 for the first time in history today ending the session, and week, at 5026.61 call it 5027. The S&P 500 logs 5 consecutive up weeks catapulting from 4700 to 5027 (+7%) during this run. In the last 15 weeks, 14 are up weeks and the SPX has launched from 4104 to 5027 (+22.5%). THE SPX HAS RALLIED +1.5% PER WEEK ON AVERAGE, EVERY WEEK, FOR THE LAST 15 WEEKS STRAIGHT. Wow! If short, and Keystone is holding some index shorts now, you are wearing a barrel. Keybot the Quant remains long. The highest print ever in history occurs at 2:46 PM EST today at 5030.06. She's up in nose-bleed territory now; the cheap seats where the birds nest. Traders expect rate cuts at some point this year and even though the consensus pushes the cuts deeper into this year, and the Fed is only thinking 3 cuts this year, what happens if the economy goes off the cliff superfast right now and needs more than 3 cuts by Independence Day? Traders will be seeking the perceived safety of notes and bonds and there is already movement in that direction (the bond market is always right). The Wall Street hotshots have discounted this outcome (a super sharp and fast economic downturn) as a possibility instead celebrating a robust stable and resilient economy and soft landing. What, Me Worry? Stock prices launch to the stratosphere on the AI hype. America's upper middle class and privileged elite (that own stock) dance with glee while spitting on the masses faces below (that do not own stock and do not benefit from SPX 5K); such is the crony capitalism system in its last throes. Crony capitalism has become a Cartoon caricature of itself, a mountain built out of sand. Plug in the amps, boys.

Note Added 2/14/24: The SPX prints an all-time high at 5048.39 on 2/12/24 at 11:30 AM EST. The all-time closing high holds at 5026.61 on 2/9/24.

Saturday, January 20, 2024

Keybot the Quant Turns Bullish

Keybot the Quant flips back into the bull camp on Friday at munchtime at SPX 4815. The 2023 choppy slop continues into 2024. Bulls push VIX back below 15.00 so stocks rally. Copper is the key. As copper goes, so goes the stock market.

Keybot the Quant

Wednesday, January 17, 2024

Keybot the Quant Turns Bearish

Keybot the Quant turns bearish this morning at SPX 4729. VIX 15.05 is the bull/bear line in the sand so stocks go up if VIX is below 15.05 and stocks go down if VIX is above 15.05.

Keybot the Quant

Tuesday, January 9, 2024

Keybot the Quant Turns Bullish

Keybot the Quant algorithm flips to the long side yesterday at SPX 4724. Utes and copper are dictating stock market direction currently. Nothing Else Matters.

Keybot the Quant

Monday, January 1, 2024

SPX S&P 500 Daily Chart Displaying Keybot the Quant Algorithm Turn Signals for 2023



The Keystone Speculator's proprietary trading robot, Keybot the Quant, logs another profitable year the actual trading gaining +23% keeping pace with the SPX benchmark up +24% in 2023. Keybot has never printed a down year since it went on line in 2008.

The chart shows the choppy whipsaw slop all year long until the real money was made on the short side in September and October and then on the long side in November and December. 2024 is off and stumbling.

Keybot the Quant

Saturday, December 30, 2023

Keybot the Quant Turns Bearish

Keystone's trading robot, Keybot the Quant, flips back to the short side yesterday at SPX 4777. The quant logs another successful year and will be rezeroed for 2024 tomorrow. Utilities and commodities are running the show currently.

Keybot the Quant

Saturday, December 23, 2023

Keybot the Quant Turns Bullish

Keybot the Quant flips back to the long side at SPX 4769. The whipsaw choppy slop that is the hallmark of 2023 continues into year end. Bulls need stronger utilities and commodities to continue the rally. Utilities are currently set up to fail out of the gate on Tuesday.

Keybot the Quant